The analyses of the Great Lakes Environmental Research Laboratory's (GLERL) historical ice cover data during 1973–2021 indicate that warmer winters with reduced surface ice cover have become more frequent in the last two decades (1995–2021) compared to the previous decades (1973–1995) in the Great Lakes. In the past two decades, for example, years with lower-than-normal ice cover have become more frequent in Lake Superior, which has a history of freezing almost completely. These observations suggest a ...

Estimated start date, end date, and duration of open water at a location fronting Barter Island, Alaska derived from projected sea ice extents in 4 global climate models: MIROC5, BCC-CSM1.1, INM-CM4, and GFDL-ESM2M. Starting and ending dates are when sea ice retreated or is projected to retreat offshore by more than 80 kilometers fronting Barter Island. Projected coastal storm events were derived by downscaling atmospheric conditions of the RCP 4.5 climate scenario with the MIROC5 global climate model (GCM) ...